With alternative investment on the rise, here’s how investors can weigh in on potential risks along with the potential upside when investing
The rise of alternative investment has been one of the major investment trends in recent years as investors hunt for yield in the post Global Financial Crisis (GFC) period. Aside from that, the aftershocks of the GFC have also led investors to diversify away from conventional investment categories such as cash, stocks and bonds. In general, alternative investments refer to any investment that is not considered part of a conventional asset class.
Over the last 15 years, alternative investments grew from just six to 12 per cent amounting to US$13.4 trillion of the global market share in 2018. By 2025, alternative investments are expected to take up 18 per cent to 24 per cent of the global market. This is reflected by the booming private equity space which has seen more than 100 unlisted companies in the US valued at more than US$1 billion.
Similarly, private debt markets in Europe are also enjoying a stellar growth while ‘shadow banking’ assets have more than tripled to more than €40 trillion since 2003. The rapid growth of alternative investment has mainly been driven by institutional investors such as pension funds and endowments seeking diversification and return opportunities.
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Are we ready for risks from alternative investment?
Given the rapid growth into alternative investment, it is important for investors to understand the risk exposure within the broad alternative investment universe. Historically, investors often overlooked the risks associated with the rise of a certain asset class until it is too late as focus is mainly on growth and return potentials.
This is even more important now that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has reversed its monetary policy tightening, as well as the end of a long-running bond buying scheme by the European Central Bank (ECB) and its signal for a series of interest rate hikes. Globally, policymakers are also shifting towards monetary policy tightening to fight against the persistent inflation amidst the Russia-Ukraine war, the cycle of Covid-19 lockdowns in China as well as the global supply chain disruption and logistic bottlenecks.
It is also worth noting that the rapid development of alternative investment means that many structures within the broad alternative investment universe have yet to be tested in a severe market downturn. The increasing signs of ‘institutionalisation’ within the alternative investment asset class also increase the contagion risk that could lead to systemic failures that will damage the stability of the financial market.
To complicate matters, the inherent risks of the broad alternative investment universe also vary depending on the underlying assets. This has added to the complexity in measuring alternative investment risks. With all of this said, here are the few key risks that investors should be aware of when investing into the alternative investment universe especially since the Fed has kickstarted its Quantitative Tightening, a monetary policy aimed at contracting the liquidity of the economy.